ANA
2–4
TBL
Final · L
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 1-5-1
2–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 4-4-0
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
1411007221
TBL
21001327430
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
ANA 1-5-1 · TBL 4-4-0 · First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
Ducks fell to the Lightning
The Ducks were outchanced (2.6 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 2–4. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.8, on 30 and 21 shots on goal.
ANA 1.8 xG · 21 shots
TBL 2.6 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Trevor Zegras · 1st 14:25 · 1–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 17:18 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:44 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Troy Terry · 2nd 16:39 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 15:33 · 2–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nick Paul · 3rd 19:58 · 2–4 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 35.
ANA 35%TBL 65%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Trevor Zegras · 1st 14:25 · 1–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Mikhail Sergachev · 1st 17:18 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 18:44 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Troy Terry · 2nd 16:39 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 15:33 · PP · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Nick Paul · 3rd 19:58 · EN · 2–4
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
