ANA
4–3
TOR
Final / OT · W
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 2-6-1
4–3
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-4-2
1ST2ND3RDOTT
ANA
1901421214439
TOR
2170711002336
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
ANA 2-6-1 · TOR 4-4-2 · First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
Ducks beat the Maple Leafs
Down 1–3 in the 3rd period, the Ducks erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Kulikov's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Zegras's goal. John Gibson stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 3.3, on 36 and 39 shots on goal.
ANA 3.3 xG · 39 shots
TOR 4.8 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
0.9 · 1.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.1
3rd
0.9 · 1.5
OT
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 04:23 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jakob Silfverberg · 1st 11:23 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Denis Malgin · 1st 17:50 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 00:45 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Trevor Zegras · 3rd 07:24 · 2–3 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
6
Dmitry Kulikov · 3rd 13:01 · 3–3 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Trevor Zegras · OT 02:15 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 31.
ANA 31%TOR 69%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Maple Leafs shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Auston Matthews · 1st 04:23 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Jakob Silfverberg · 1st 11:23 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Denis Malgin · 1st 17:50 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Calle Jarnkrok · 3rd 00:45 · SH · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Trevor Zegras · 3rd 07:24 · 2–3
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (23%)
6
Dmitry Kulikov · 3rd 13:01 · 3–3
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Trevor Zegras · OT 02:15 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
3
William Nylander, Nick Robertson · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–2
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
6
Frank Vatrano, Kevin Shattenkirk · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–3
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
