Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 4-9-1
1–4
FinalL
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 6-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
01211307132
MIN
01518316439
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
ANA 4-9-1 · MIN 6-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
Ducks fell to the Wild
The Ducks were outchanced (4.2 to 2.8 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Filip Gustavsson stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.8, on 39 and 32 shots on goal.
ANA 2.8 xG · 32 shots
MIN 4.2 xG · 39 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.3
2nd
1.5 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 2.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavol Regenda · 2nd 13:24 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 16:37 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
· 3rd 01:41 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 03:23 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Joseph Cramarossa · 3rd 11:42 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 29.
ANA 29%MIN 71%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavol Regenda · 2nd 13:24 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 2nd 16:37 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
· 3rd 01:41 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
4
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 03:23 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Joseph Cramarossa · 3rd 11:42 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 4.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.