Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 6-14-1
1–5
FinalL
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 7-12-1
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
01308111132
OTT
2721818533
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
ANA 6-14-1 · OTT 7-12-1 · First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
Ducks fell to the Senators
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.8 expected goals); the Ducks lost 1–5. Cam Talbot stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.8, on 32 and 33 shots on goal.
ANA 3.4 xG · 32 shots
OTT 3.8 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 2.1
3rd
1.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 16:24 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Derick Brassard · 1st 18:19 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 10:29 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Artem Zub · 2nd 14:54 · 0–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 06:49 · 0–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Max Jones · 3rd 17:10 · 1–5 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 44.
ANA 44%OTT 56%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brady Tkachuk · 1st 16:24 · PP · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Derick Brassard · 1st 18:19 · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Tim Stützle · 2nd 10:29 · PP · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Artem Zub · 2nd 14:54 · 0–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Mathieu Joseph · 3rd 06:49 · PP · 0–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
6
Max Jones · 3rd 17:10 · 1–5
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/33 saves · 5 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.