Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 7-17-3
4–3
Final / OTW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 14-6-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
ANA
2911001011430
CAR
1102200700337
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
ANA 7-17-3 · CAR 14-6-6 · First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
Ducks beat the Hurricanes
The Ducks were outchanced (3.7 to 2.2 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Strome's goal anyway. Pyotr Kochetkov allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.2, on 37 and 30 shots on goal.
ANA 2.2 xG · 30 shots
CAR 3.7 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.6 · 1.4
2nd
0.9 · 1.6
3rd
0.5 · 0.7
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Henrique · 1st 03:59 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Brady Skjei · 1st 05:38 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Maxime Comtois · 1st 11:13 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 10:16 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brett Leason · 2nd 10:59 · 3–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Jordan Staal · 2nd 15:49 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Strome · OT 01:56 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 27.
ANA 27%CAR 73%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Henrique · 1st 03:59 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Brady Skjei · 1st 05:38 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Maxime Comtois · 1st 11:13 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 10:16 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Brett Leason · 2nd 10:59 · 3–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Jordan Staal · 2nd 15:49 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Ryan Strome · OT 01:56 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
34/37 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.