Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 7-18-3
1–6
FinalL
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 9-16-5
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
0717010124
SJS
1731229628
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 2–1
ANA 7-18-3 · SJS 9-16-5 · Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 2–1
Ducks fell to the Sharks
The Ducks were outchanced (3.6 to 1.8 expected goals) and lost 1–6. John Gibson allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sharks created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 1.8, on 28 and 24 shots on goal.
ANA 1.8 xG · 24 shots
SJS 3.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.3 · 0.8
2nd
0.7 · 1.3
3rd
0.8 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Timo Meier · 1st 10:18 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Scott Harrington · 2nd 06:19 · 0–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 07:53 · 0–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nico Sturm · 2nd 08:01 · 0–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 09:37 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Nick Bonino · 3rd 16:18 · 1–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 16:43 · 1–6 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 22.
ANA 22%SJS 78%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Timo Meier · 1st 10:18 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Scott Harrington · 2nd 06:19 · GWG · 0–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 07:53 · PP · 0–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Nico Sturm · 2nd 08:01 · 0–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 09:37 · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Nick Bonino · 3rd 16:18 · EN · 1–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 16:43 · 1–6
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
7/8 saves · 1 GA · 1.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.