ANA
4–5
NSH
Final / OT · L
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 22-35-10
4–5
Final / OTL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 33-24-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
ANA
1711321502437
NSH
2100162812536
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–3
ANA 22-35-10 · NSH 33-24-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–3
Ducks fell to the Predators
Chances were even (3.2 to 2.9 expected goals); the Ducks lost it in overtime on Novak's goal. John Gibson allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 2.9, on 37 and 36 shots on goal.
ANA 3.2 xG · 37 shots
NSH 2.9 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 1.0
2nd
1.2 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
OT
0.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Philip Tomasino · 1st 09:01 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Tommy Novak · 1st 13:40 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mason McTavish · 1st 15:44 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 04:46 · 2–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Kiefer Sherwood · 3rd 01:47 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 13:36 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Troy Terry · 3rd 17:39 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Mason McTavish · 3rd 19:34 · 4–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
9
Tommy Novak · OT 01:12 · 4–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 56.
ANA 56%NSH 44%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Philip Tomasino · 1st 09:01 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Tommy Novak · 1st 13:40 · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Mason McTavish · 1st 15:44 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 04:46 · 2–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Kiefer Sherwood · 3rd 01:47 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Yakov Trenin · 3rd 13:36 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Troy Terry · 3rd 17:39 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Mason McTavish · 3rd 19:34 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
9
Tommy Novak · OT 01:12 · GWG · 4–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
31/36 saves · 5 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 2.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/37 saves · 4 GA · 3.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
