Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 23-41-10
1–5
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 44-23-6
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
11109010130
COL
212215117544
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
ANA 23-41-10 · COL 44-23-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Ducks fell to the Avalanche
The Ducks were outchanced (4.5 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 1–5. Jonas Johansson stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.6, on 44 and 30 shots on goal.
ANA 2.6 xG · 30 shots
COL 4.5 xG · 44 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.2 · 0.9
2nd
0.9 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
0.5 · 2.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Derek Grant · 1st 12:08 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 15:43 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:52 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 02:05 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 03:46 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Samuel Girard · 3rd 04:22 · 1–5 · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 24.
ANA 24%COL 76%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Derek Grant · 1st 12:08 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
2
Bowen Byram · 1st 15:43 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:52 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
· 2nd 02:05 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 03:46 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Samuel Girard · 3rd 04:22 · PP · 1–5
Slap shot, a good chance (21%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
39/44 saves · 5 GA · 4.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.