Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 23-45-12
4–5
Final / OTL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 49-24-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
ANA
09282600423
COL
1711721814546
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 1–2
ANA 23-45-12 · COL 49-24-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 1–2
Ducks fell to the Avalanche
The Ducks let a 4–2 lead get away: the Avalanche came back with three unanswered goals — MacKinnon's equalizer — and won it in overtime on MacKinnon's goal. Pavel Francouz allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 5.7 expected goals to 1.5, on 46 and 23 shots on goal.
ANA 1.5 xG · 23 shots
COL 5.7 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
0.5 · 1.4
2nd
0.7 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 2.2
OT
0.0 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
J.T. Compher · 1st 10:15 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 13:58 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 15:15 · 1–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Adam Henrique · 2nd 18:09 · 2–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 05:18 · 3–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Brett Leason · 3rd 07:25 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 12:09 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:28 · 4–4 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Nathan MacKinnon · OT 04:15 · 4–5 · slap shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 6.
ANA 6%COL 94%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
J.T. Compher · 1st 10:15 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 13:58 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 15:15 · 1–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Adam Henrique · 2nd 18:09 · 2–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 05:18 · 3–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
6
Brett Leason · 3rd 07:25 · 4–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 12:09 · PP · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 15:28 · PP · 4–4
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Nathan MacKinnon · OT 04:15 · PP · GWG · 4–5
Slap shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
41/46 saves · 5 GA · 5.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.