ANA
6–3
CAR
Final · W
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 1-1-0
6–3
FinalW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 2-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
3111628625
CAR
08112215335
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
ANA 1-1-0 · CAR 2-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
Ducks beat the Hurricanes
The Ducks were outchanced (3.5 to 2.5 expected goals) but won 6–3 anyway. Antti Raanta allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.5, on 35 and 25 shots on goal.
ANA 2.5 xG · 25 shots
CAR 3.5 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
0.7 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Carrick · 1st 06:52 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Frank Vatrano · 1st 08:31 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Mintyukov · 1st 12:06 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 13:52 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 16:44 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 03:01 · 4–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Martin Necas · 3rd 15:29 · 4–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Cam Fowler · 3rd 18:03 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 18:41 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 35.
ANA 35%CAR 65%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Hurricanes shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Carrick · 1st 06:52 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Frank Vatrano · 1st 08:31 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Pavel Mintyukov · 1st 12:06 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Teuvo Teravainen · 2nd 13:52 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 2nd 16:44 · GWG · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Teuvo Teravainen · 3rd 03:01 · PP · 4–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Martin Necas · 3rd 15:29 · PP · 4–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
8
Cam Fowler · 3rd 18:03 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 18:41 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
