ANA
2–3
DAL
Final · L
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 1-2-0
2–3
FinalL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-0-1
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
11701111229
DAL
0721215324
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
ANA 1-2-0 · DAL 2-0-1 · First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
Ducks fell to the Stars
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.9 expected goals); the Ducks lost 2–3. The Stars owned the 2nd period, 1.8 to 0.5 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.9, on 29 and 24 shots on goal.
ANA 2.7 xG · 29 shots
DAL 2.9 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 1.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Troy Terry · 1st 04:37 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 10:03 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 18:06 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 01:01 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 06:47 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 47.
ANA 47%DAL 53%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Troy Terry · 1st 04:37 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
2
Roope Hintz · 2nd 10:03 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Joe Pavelski · 2nd 18:06 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 01:01 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Miro Heiskanen · 3rd 06:47 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
