Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 9-10-0
3–4
FinalL
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 8-9-2
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
012211110333
MTL
2151716428
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
ANA 9-10-0 · MTL 8-9-2 · First meeting this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–1
Ducks fell to the Canadiens
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.7 expected goals); the Ducks lost 3–4. John Gibson allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.7, on 33 and 28 shots on goal.
ANA 2.7 xG · 33 shots
MTL 2.7 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Newhook · 1st 05:59 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Kaiden Guhle · 1st 06:37 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mason McTavish · 2nd 00:53 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Mike Matheson · 2nd 01:49 · 1–3 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Mason McTavish · 2nd 06:00 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 11:31 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Alex Newhook · 3rd 16:40 · 3–4 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 50.
ANA 50%MTL 50%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Newhook · 1st 05:59 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Kaiden Guhle · 1st 06:37 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Mason McTavish · 2nd 00:53 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Mike Matheson · 2nd 01:49 · 1–3
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Mason McTavish · 2nd 06:00 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 11:31 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
7
Alex Newhook · 3rd 16:40 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (22%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/28 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.