ANA
2–3
DET
Final · L
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 13-25-1
2–3
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 20-16-4
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
1901616231
DET
1819111328
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
ANA 13-25-1 · DET 20-16-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Ducks fell to the Red Wings
Chances were even (3.4 to 3.3 expected goals); the Ducks lost 2–3. Rasmussen's winner came with 1:07 left. Alex Lyon stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.4 expected goals to 3.3, on 31 and 28 shots on goal.
ANA 3.4 xG · 31 shots
DET 3.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.9
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Trevor Zegras · 1st 00:20 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Larkin · 1st 11:10 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 02:20 · 1–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Trevor Zegras · 3rd 03:55 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 18:53 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 52.
ANA 52%DET 48%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Trevor Zegras · 1st 00:20 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Dylan Larkin · 1st 11:10 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
3
Joseph Veleno · 2nd 02:20 · 1–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Trevor Zegras · 3rd 03:55 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Michael Rasmussen · 3rd 18:53 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
