ANA
4–2
BUF
Final · W
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 16-30-1
4–2
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 20-23-4
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
1821919436
BUF
0906215230
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
ANA 16-30-1 · BUF 20-23-4 · First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
Ducks beat the Sabres
Chances were even (3.2 to 3.3 expected goals); the Ducks won 4–2. John Gibson stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.2 expected goals to 3.3, on 36 and 30 shots on goal.
ANA 3.2 xG · 36 shots
BUF 3.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jakob Silfverberg · 1st 05:51 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sam Carrick · 2nd 03:37 · 2–0 · bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Jakob Silfverberg · 2nd 04:30 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Greenway · 3rd 14:41 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 17:04 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Adam Henrique · 3rd 18:51 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 49.
ANA 49%BUF 51%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jakob Silfverberg · 1st 05:51 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Sam Carrick · 2nd 03:37 · PP · 2–0
Bat shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
3
Jakob Silfverberg · 2nd 04:30 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Jordan Greenway · 3rd 14:41 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Kyle Okposo · 3rd 17:04 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Adam Henrique · 3rd 18:51 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
