Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 18-31-2
3–5
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 30-16-1
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
11312112327
EDM
09212311532
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–3
ANA 18-31-2 · EDM 30-16-1 · Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–3
Ducks fell to the Oilers
The Ducks were outchanced (3.8 to 1.9 expected goals) and lost 3–5. Calvin Pickard allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 32 and 27 shots on goal.
ANA 1.9 xG · 27 shots
EDM 3.8 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.5
2nd
0.3 · 1.0
3rd
0.8 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cam Fowler · 1st 18:40 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Evander Kane · 2nd 09:11 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Strome · 2nd 09:40 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Evander Kane · 2nd 12:51 · 2–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
5
Ryan Strome · 3rd 03:20 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 08:41 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 10:09 · 3–4 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Evander Kane · 3rd 18:50 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 21.
ANA 21%EDM 79%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cam Fowler · 1st 18:40 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Evander Kane · 2nd 09:11 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Strome · 2nd 09:40 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
4
Evander Kane · 2nd 12:51 · 2–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
5
Ryan Strome · 3rd 03:20 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Zach Hyman · 3rd 08:41 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 10:09 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
8
Evander Kane · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
8/10 saves · 2 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.