Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 20-35-3
2–4
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 32-25-2
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
08112111231
NSH
0711339429
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 2–1
ANA 20-35-3 · NSH 32-25-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 2–1
Ducks fell to the Predators
The Ducks created the better chances (2.8 to 1.9 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Lukas Dostal allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Ducks created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.9, on 31 and 29 shots on goal.
ANA 2.8 xG · 31 shots
NSH 1.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Roman Josi · 2nd 01:00 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Isac Lundeström · 2nd 11:55 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 03:26 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Michael McCarron · 3rd 08:43 · 1–3 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
5
Brett Leason · 3rd 17:36 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 17:58 · 2–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 66.
ANA 66%NSH 34%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Roman Josi · 2nd 01:00 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Isac Lundeström · 2nd 11:55 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 03:26 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
4
Michael McCarron · 3rd 08:43 · GWG · 1–3
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
5
Brett Leason · 3rd 17:36 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Gustav Nyquist · 3rd 17:58 · EN · 2–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.