Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 23-38-3
1–6
FinalL
New York Islanders
NYI · 29-20-14
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
0411009123
NYI
360637619
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–2
ANA 23-38-3 · NYI 29-20-14 · Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–2
Ducks fell to the Islanders
Chances were even (2.0 to 2.5 expected goals); the Ducks lost 1–6. Lukas Dostal allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.0 expected goals to 2.5, on 23 and 19 shots on goal.
ANA 2.0 xG · 23 shots
NYI 2.5 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd
0.7 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Casey Cizikas · 1st 05:11 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 07:28 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 14:28 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Alex Killorn · 2nd 00:24 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 00:34 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 07:56 · 1–5 · wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (27%)
7
Cal Clutterbuck · 3rd 18:12 · 1–6 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 41.
ANA 41%NYI 59%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Casey Cizikas · 1st 05:11 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
2
Kyle Palmieri · 1st 07:28 · GWG · 0–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 14:28 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Alex Killorn · 2nd 00:24 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Bo Horvat · 3rd 00:34 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Pierre Engvall · 3rd 07:56 · 1–5
Wrist shot off the rush, a great chance (27%)
7
Cal Clutterbuck · 3rd 18:12 · 1–6
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
13/19 saves · 6 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.