ANA
2–3
TBL
Final / OT · L
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 24-43-4
2–3
Final / OTL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 39-25-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
ANA
1801211200232
TBL
052110912327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–2
ANA 24-43-4 · TBL 39-25-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–2
Ducks fell to the Lightning
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.8 expected goals); the Ducks lost it in overtime on Cirelli's goal. Jonas Johansson stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 27 shots on goal.
ANA 3.0 xG · 32 shots
TBL 2.8 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
1.3 · 0.9
3rd
0.5 · 1.1
OT
0.0 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Johnston · 1st 13:49 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Duclair · 2nd 07:50 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
3
Luke Glendening · 2nd 17:00 · 1–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Pavel Mintyukov · 3rd 02:36 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · OT 00:59 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 53.
ANA 53%TBL 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Johnston · 1st 13:49 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Anthony Duclair · 2nd 07:50 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
3
Luke Glendening · 2nd 17:00 · 1–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Pavel Mintyukov · 3rd 02:36 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Anthony Cirelli · OT 00:59 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 1.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
