Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 12-15-4
2–4
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 20-15-0
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
01219111232
COL
0521325423
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–2
ANA 12-15-4 · COL 20-15-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–2
Ducks fell to the Avalanche
The Ducks were outchanced (3.4 to 2.6 expected goals) and lost 2–4. The Avalanche owned the 2nd period, 1.6 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.6, on 23 and 32 shots on goal.
ANA 2.6 xG · 32 shots
COL 3.4 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.6
3rd
0.9 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 02:40 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Parker Kelly · 2nd 06:40 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 10:57 · 1–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
4
Cale Makar · 3rd 03:30 · 1–3 · snap shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Alex Killorn · 3rd 13:05 · 2–3 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:41 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 37.
ANA 37%COL 63%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 02:40 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Parker Kelly · 2nd 06:40 · SH · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 10:57 · 1–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (51%)
4
Cale Makar · 3rd 03:30 · PP · GWG · 1–3
Snap shot, a great chance (25%)
5
Alex Killorn · 3rd 13:05 · 2–3
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:41 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.