ANA
4–1
TBL
Final · W
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 17-18-4
4–1
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 20-15-2
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
2120826426
TBL
05118014137
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
ANA 17-18-4 · TBL 20-15-2 · First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
Ducks beat the Lightning
The Ducks were outchanced (3.1 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. John Gibson stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.0, on 37 and 26 shots on goal.
ANA 2.0 xG · 26 shots
TBL 3.1 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.5
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Troy Terry · 1st 05:24 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Frank Vatrano · 1st 17:03 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 09:12 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jackson LaCombe · 3rd 16:26 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 18:28 · 4–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 33.
ANA 33%TBL 67%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Troy Terry · 1st 05:24 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Frank Vatrano · 1st 17:03 · GWG · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Jake Guentzel · 2nd 09:12 · PP · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
4
Jackson LaCombe · 3rd 16:26 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 18:28 · EN · 4–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
36/37 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
22/25 saves · 3 GA · 2.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
