Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 19-23-6
5–1
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 20-22-8
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
212010312534
PIT
01211109132
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
ANA 19-23-6 · PIT 20-22-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Ducks beat the Penguins
The Ducks earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, and a 5–1 win to show for it. John Gibson stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Ducks created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 34 and 32 shots on goal.
ANA 3.1 xG · 34 shots
PIT 2.4 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.8
2nd
0.8 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mason McTavish · 1st 09:28 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
2
Alex Killorn · 1st 19:01 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Michael Bunting · 2nd 05:32 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Mason McTavish · 3rd 02:06 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 06:52 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Alex Killorn · 3rd 18:00 · 5–1 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 61.
ANA 61%PIT 39%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mason McTavish · 1st 09:28 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
2
Alex Killorn · 1st 19:01 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Michael Bunting · 2nd 05:32 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
4
Mason McTavish · 3rd 02:06 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
5
Frank Vatrano · 3rd 06:52 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Alex Killorn · 3rd 18:00 · EN · 5–1
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/32 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.