Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 20-23-6
5–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 18-23-7
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
21531406535
NSH
110118015243
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
ANA 20-23-6 · NSH 18-23-7 · First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
Ducks beat the Predators
The Ducks were outchanced (4.4 to 3.4 expected goals) but won 5–2 anyway. Lukas Dostal stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.4, on 43 and 35 shots on goal.
ANA 3.4 xG · 35 shots
NSH 4.4 xG · 43 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.3 · 0.6
2nd · the swing
1.0 · 2.6
3rd
1.1 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Pavel Mintyukov · 1st 04:15 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Gustav Nyquist · 1st 14:50 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mason McTavish · 1st 19:55 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 05:07 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Jansen Harkins · 2nd 10:46 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 11:48 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Mason McTavish · 2nd 14:20 · 5–2 · slap shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 37.
ANA 37%NSH 63%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Pavel Mintyukov · 1st 04:15 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Gustav Nyquist · 1st 14:50 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Mason McTavish · 1st 19:55 · 2–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 05:07 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (30%)
5
Jansen Harkins · 2nd 10:46 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Trevor Zegras · 2nd 11:48 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Mason McTavish · 2nd 14:20 · PP · 5–2
Slap shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
5
Radko Gudas, Brett Leason · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
9/10 saves · 1 GA · 0.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.