Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 29-30-7
2–1
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 25-33-7
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
051614215
NSH
08011110129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 2–0
ANA 29-30-7 · NSH 25-33-7 · Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 2–0
Ducks beat the Predators
The Ducks were outchanced (2.7 to 2.0 expected goals) but won 2–1 anyway. Lukas Dostal stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 2.0, on 29 and 15 shots on goal.
ANA 2.0 xG · 15 shots
NSH 2.7 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd
0.2 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Troy Terry · 2nd 15:52 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Jakub Vrana · 3rd 04:25 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Alex Killorn · 3rd 11:20 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 38.
ANA 38%NSH 62%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Troy Terry · 2nd 15:52 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Jakub Vrana · 3rd 04:25 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Alex Killorn · 3rd 11:20 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 1.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
13/15 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.