Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 31-32-8
6–2
FinalW
Boston Bruins
BOS · 30-34-9
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
115312210637
BOS
0514116225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 2–0
ANA 31-32-8 · BOS 30-34-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 2–0
Ducks beat the Bruins
The Ducks earned it: 4.2 expected goals to 1.8, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Joonas Korpisalo allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Ducks created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 1.8, on 37 and 25 shots on goal.
ANA 4.2 xG · 37 shots
BOS 1.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.5 · 0.2
2nd · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Leo Carlsson · 1st 17:33 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Nikita Nesterenko · 2nd 13:58 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
David Pastrnak · 2nd 16:20 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Jackson LaCombe · 2nd 17:57 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Cutter Gauthier · 2nd 18:45 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 04:02 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Mason McTavish · 3rd 12:25 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 12:46 · 6–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 83.
ANA 83%BOS 17%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Leo Carlsson · 1st 17:33 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2
Nikita Nesterenko · 2nd 13:58 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
3
David Pastrnak · 2nd 16:20 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Jackson LaCombe · 2nd 17:57 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Cutter Gauthier · 2nd 18:45 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 04:02 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
7
Mason McTavish · 3rd 12:25 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Morgan Geekie · 3rd 12:46 · 6–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
31/37 saves · 6 GA · 4.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.