Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 32-33-8
2–3
FinalL
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 45-25-4
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
01118112231
TOR
1611314323
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–2
ANA 32-33-8 · TOR 45-25-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Ducks trail the season series 0–2
Ducks fell to the Maple Leafs
The Ducks created the better chances (3.2 to 2.5 expected goals) — and lost 2–3. Joseph Woll stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Ducks created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
ANA 3.2 xG · 31 shots
TOR 2.5 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.5
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Max Domi · 1st 19:24 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 06:29 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 07:50 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Sam Colangelo · 3rd 02:16 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 11:35 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 61.
ANA 61%TOR 39%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Max Domi · 1st 19:24 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Mitch Marner · 2nd 06:29 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
3
Leo Carlsson · 2nd 07:50 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Sam Colangelo · 3rd 02:16 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Steven Lorentz · 3rd 11:35 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/23 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.