Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 15-8-1
5–4
Final / SOW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 11-6-7
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
ANA
0721129041531
LAK
1915211020427
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
ANA 15-8-1 · LAK 11-6-7 · First meeting this season — the Ducks lead the season series 1–0
Ducks beat the Kings
Down 2–4 in the 3rd period, the Ducks erased the deficit with two unanswered goals — Carlsson's equalizer with 1:31 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in a shootout. Ville Husso allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Ducks created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.6, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
ANA 3.8 xG · 31 shots
LAK 2.6 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.4
3rd
1.1 · 1.0
OT
0.6 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Alex Laferriere · 1st 17:48 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Chris Kreider · 2nd 09:00 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 10:03 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Olen Zellweger · 2nd 11:02 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Alex Turcotte · 3rd 03:23 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Joel Edmundson · 3rd 06:53 · 2–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Pavel Mintyukov · 3rd 10:42 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 18:29 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 68.
ANA 68%LAK 32%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 3 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Alex Laferriere · 1st 17:48 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (18%)
2
Chris Kreider · 2nd 09:00 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Kevin Fiala · 2nd 10:03 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Olen Zellweger · 2nd 11:02 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Alex Turcotte · 3rd 03:23 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Joel Edmundson · 3rd 06:53 · 2–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Pavel Mintyukov · 3rd 10:42 · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 18:29 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:50
Radko Gudas· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:50
Alex Turcotte· Tripping
Kreider scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:55
Brandt Clarke· Unsportsmanlike conduct
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Shootout
1
Leo Carlsson
Miss
2
Kevin Fiala
Miss
3
Troy Terry
Goal
4
Adrian Kempe
Save
5
Mason McTavish
Goal
Goaltending
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 3.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Ducks went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 1 Kings power play.