Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 29-23-3
4–3
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 25-16-14
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
182817423
VGK
0517219331
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 3–0
ANA 29-23-3 · VGK 25-16-14 · Meeting 3 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 3–0
Ducks beat the Golden Knights
The Ducks were outchanced (2.7 to 1.9 expected goals) but won 4–3 anyway. Adin Hill allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 2.7 expected goals to 1.9, on 31 and 23 shots on goal.
ANA 1.9 xG · 23 shots
VGK 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.4
2nd
0.6 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.3 · 1.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Chris Kreider · 1st 13:21 · 1–0 · deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Chris Kreider · 2nd 01:10 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Cutter Gauthier · 2nd 04:32 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 09:47 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 10:40 · 3–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 18:53 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 19:54 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 35.
ANA 35%VGK 65%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Chris Kreider · 1st 13:21 · 1–0
Deflected shot, a good chance (24%)
2
Chris Kreider · 2nd 01:10 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Cutter Gauthier · 2nd 04:32 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 09:47 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Ivan Barbashev · 3rd 10:40 · 3–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
6
Ryan Poehling · 3rd 18:53 · EN · GWG · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 19:54 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:49
Olen Zellweger· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:11
Tomas Hertl· Holding the stick
Gauthier scored on this power play
Minor
3
Jackson LaCombe, Beckett Sennecke · Power play (Hertl, holding the stick) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:20
Tanner Laczynski· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:22
Radko Gudas· Roughing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
19/22 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Ducks went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Golden Knights power plays.