Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 41-31-5
3–5
FinalL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 32-36-8
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
116010213339
CGY
163915520
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 3–1
ANA 41-31-5 · CGY 32-36-8 · Meeting 4 this season — the Ducks lead the season series 3–1
Ducks fell to the Flames
The Ducks created the better chances (3.3 to 2.0 expected goals) — and lost 3–5. Ville Husso allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Ducks created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.0, on 39 and 20 shots on goal.
ANA 3.3 xG · 39 shots
CGY 2.0 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.2 · 0.5
2nd
1.2 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Beckett Sennecke · 1st 10:11 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
2
Joel Farabee · 1st 13:24 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Strome · 2nd 01:20 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (46%)
4
Matvei Gridin · 2nd 07:49 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Morgan Frost · 2nd 18:44 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 07:49 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Mason McTavish · 3rd 09:51 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Morgan Frost · 3rd 18:49 · 3–5 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 71.
ANA 71%CGY 29%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 4 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Beckett Sennecke · 1st 10:11 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
2
Joel Farabee · 1st 13:24 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Strome · 2nd 01:20 · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (46%)
4
Matvei Gridin · 2nd 07:49 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Morgan Frost · 2nd 18:44 · GWG · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 07:49 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Mason McTavish · 3rd 09:51 · PP · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Morgan Frost · 3rd 18:49 · EN · 3–5
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:40
Beckett Sennecke· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:27
Zach Whitecloud· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:54
Morgan Frost· Holding
McTavish scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:54
Blake Coleman· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
15/19 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
36/39 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Ducks went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 1 Flames power play.