Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 2-1
7–4
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 1-2
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
22011148739
EDM
1721216425
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Ducks lead the series 2–1
ANA 2-1 · EDM 1-2 · Game 3 — the Ducks lead the series 2–1
Ducks beat the Oilers
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.3 expected goals); the Ducks won 7–4. Connor Ingram allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.3, on 39 and 25 shots on goal.
ANA 3.3 xG · 39 shots
EDM 3.3 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 1.3
3rd
0.6 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Vasily Podkolzin · 1st 13:12 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Mason McTavish · 1st 16:18 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mikael Granlund · 1st 17:45 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Kasperi Kapanen · 2nd 03:57 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 05:39 · 2–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Alex Killorn · 2nd 12:37 · 3–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
7
Beckett Sennecke · 3rd 02:53 · 4–3 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 03:35 · 5–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Connor McDavid · 3rd 08:36 · 5–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Jeffrey Viel · 3rd 16:57 · 6–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
11
Jackson LaCombe · 3rd 18:27 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 50.
ANA 50%EDM 50%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Vasily Podkolzin · 1st 13:12 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Mason McTavish · 1st 16:18 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Mikael Granlund · 1st 17:45 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Kasperi Kapanen · 2nd 03:57 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 05:39 · 2–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Alex Killorn · 2nd 12:37 · 3–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (33%)
7
Beckett Sennecke · 3rd 02:53 · 4–3
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
8
Leo Carlsson · 3rd 03:35 · GWG · 5–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
9
Connor McDavid · 3rd 08:36 · PP · 5–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
10
Jeffrey Viel · 3rd 16:57 · 6–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
11
Jackson LaCombe · 3rd 18:27 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:42
Jake Walman· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:22
Josh Samanski· High-sticking
Granlund scored on this power play
Minor
3
Chris Kreider, Leo Carlsson · Power play (Samanski, high-sticking) · snap shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–1
2nd period
5
Evan Bouchard, Connor McDavid · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–3
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:49
Jeffrey Viel· Cross-checking
McDavid scored on this power play
Minor
9
Leon Draisaitl, Evan Bouchard · Power play (Viel, cross-checking) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:06
Beckett Sennecke· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:14
Connor McDavid· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
19:35
Vasily Podkolzin· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
19:35
Jeffrey Viel· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Drew Helleson· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Colton Dach· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/38 saves · 6 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Ducks went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Oilers power plays.