Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 5-4
2–6
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 6-3
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
011010212233
VGK
3829111628
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Ducks trail the series 1–2
ANA 5-4 · VGK 6-3 · Game 3 — the Ducks trail the series 1–2
Ducks fell to the Golden Knights
The Ducks were outchanced (4.7 to 2.8 expected goals) and lost 2–6. Lukas Dostal allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 2.8, on 28 and 33 shots on goal.
ANA 2.8 xG · 33 shots
VGK 4.7 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.6 · 1.4
2nd · the swing
0.3 · 1.9
3rd
1.9 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Shea Theodore · 1st 01:06 · 0–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Brayden McNabb · 1st 12:13 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Mitch Marner · 1st 19:55 · 0–3 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 09:19 · 0–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 17:56 · 0–5 · snap shot, a great chance (35%)
6
Beckett Sennecke · 3rd 06:30 · 1–5 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
7
Chris Kreider · 3rd 15:09 · 2–5 · snap shot, a great chance (35%)
8
Brett Howden · 3rd 18:04 · 2–6 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 25.
ANA 25%VGK 75%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Shea Theodore · 1st 01:06 · 0–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
2
Brayden McNabb · 1st 12:13 · SH · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Mitch Marner · 1st 19:55 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
4
Mitch Marner · 2nd 09:19 · 0–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Mitch Marner · 2nd 17:56 · 0–5
Snap shot, a great chance (35%)
6
Beckett Sennecke · 3rd 06:30 · 1–5
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (39%)
7
Chris Kreider · 3rd 15:09 · 2–5
Snap shot, a great chance (35%)
8
Brett Howden · 3rd 18:04 · EN · 2–6
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:33
Brett Howden· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:43
Jack Eichel· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:29
Jackson LaCombe· Elbowing
Marner scored on this power play
Minor
3
Pavel Dorofeyev, Colton Sissons · Power play (LaCombe, elbowing) · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (46%)
0–3
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:19
Jeffrey Viel· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:54
Ville Husso· Delaying game illegal play by goalie
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
5/8 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Ducks went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Golden Knights power plays.