ANA
4–3
VGK
Final · W
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 6-4
4–3
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 6-4
1ST2ND3RDT
ANA
291915423
VGK
151719321
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
ANA 6-4 · VGK 6-4 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Ducks beat the Golden Knights
Chances were even (2.2 to 2.0 expected goals); the Ducks won 4–3. Carter Hart allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.2 expected goals to 2.0, on 23 and 21 shots on goal.
ANA 2.2 xG · 23 shots
VGK 2.0 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.3
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Beckett Sennecke · 1st 08:43 · 1–0 · slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 10:22 · 1–1 · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
3
Mikael Granlund · 1st 15:25 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Brett Howden · 2nd 04:04 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Alex Killorn · 2nd 17:58 · 3–2 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Ian Moore · 3rd 03:43 · 4–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 18:56 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Ducks win 53.
ANA 53%VGK 47%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 7 penalties← Ducks shoot this way
Golden Knights shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Beckett Sennecke · 1st 08:43 · PP · 1–0
Slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
2
Pavel Dorofeyev · 1st 10:22 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
3
Mikael Granlund · 1st 15:25 · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Brett Howden · 2nd 04:04 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (32%)
5
Alex Killorn · 2nd 17:58 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
6
Ian Moore · 3rd 03:43 · GWG · 4–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Tomas Hertl · 3rd 18:56 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (39%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:21
Dylan Coghlan· Interference
Dylan Coghlan· Interference
Sennecke scored on this power play
Minor
1
Alex Killorn, Cutter Gauthier · Power play (Coghlan, interference) · slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:15
Ross Johnston· Interference
Ross Johnston· Interference
Dorofeyev scored on this power play
Minor
2
Mitch Marner, Jack Eichel · Power play (Johnston, interference) · tip in shot on a rebound, a good chance (13%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:25
Brayden McNabb· Cross-checking
Brayden McNabb· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:43
Cole Smith· Slashing
Cole Smith· Slashing
Killorn scored on this power play
Minor
5
Cutter Gauthier, Beckett Sennecke · Power play (Smith, slashing) · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
20:00
Beckett Sennecke· Cross-checking
Beckett Sennecke· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:22
Rasmus Andersson· Hooking
Rasmus Andersson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:36
John Carlson· Delaying game puck over glass
John Carlson· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
19/23 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Ducks went 2-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Golden Knights power plays.