Calgary Flames
CGY · 3-2
3–1
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
0709316332
DAL
071905121
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Flames lead the series 3–2
CGY 3-2 · DAL 2-3 · Game 5 — the Flames lead the series 3–2
Flames beat the Stars
The Flames earned it: 2.6 expected goals to 1.8, and a 3–1 win to show for it. An empty-net goal padded the final score; it was a one-goal game until then.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.8, on 32 and 21 shots on goal.
CGY 2.6 xG · 32 shots
DAL 1.8 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.2 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jason Robertson · 2nd 13:21 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 06:49 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 10:38 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Trevor Lewis · 3rd 19:02 · 3–1 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 64.
CGY 64%DAL 36%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jason Robertson · 2nd 13:21 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 06:49 · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 10:38 · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Trevor Lewis · 3rd 19:02 · EN · 3–1
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/21 saves · 1 GA · 1.8 xGA
Stopped 0.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.