Calgary Flames
CGY · 4-3
3–2
Final / OTW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 3-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CGY
01722609115367
DAL
181401105228
goals · shots on goal
Game 7 — the Flames lead the series 4–3
CGY 4-3 · DAL 3-4 · Game 7 — the Flames lead the series 4–3
Flames beat the Stars
The Flames earned it: 5.7 expected goals to 3.1, and they won it in overtime on Gaudreau's goal. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 5.7 expected goals to 3.1, on 67 and 28 shots on goal.
CGY 5.7 xG · 67 shots
DAL 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
1st
1.3 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
2.1 · 0.4
3rd
0.4 · 0.8
OT
1.8 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jamie Benn · 1st 00:40 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 01:46 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Vladislav Namestnikov · 2nd 02:17 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 08:44 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Johnny Gaudreau · OT 15:09 · 3–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 81.
CGY 81%DAL 19%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jamie Benn · 1st 00:40 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 01:46 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Vladislav Namestnikov · 2nd 02:17 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 08:44 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Johnny Gaudreau · OT 15:09 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (11%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
64/67 saves · 3 GA · 5.7 xGA
Stopped 2.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.