CGY
9–6
EDM
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-3
9–6
FinalW
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 4-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
31932138948
EDM
17411110628
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Flames lead the series 1–0
CGY 5-3 · EDM 4-4 · Game 1 — the Flames lead the series 1–0
Flames beat the Oilers
The Flames earned it: 4.8 expected goals to 2.4, and a 9–6 win to show for it. Jacob Markstrom allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 2.4, on 48 and 28 shots on goal.
CGY 4.8 xG · 48 shots
EDM 2.4 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st · the swing
2.1 · 0.4
2nd
2.1 · 1.0
3rd
0.6 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Elias Lindholm · 1st 00:26 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 00:51 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Brett Ritchie · 1st 06:05 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 07:41 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Blake Coleman · 2nd 00:45 · 4–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
6
Blake Coleman · 2nd 06:10 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 07:10 · 5–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 08:24 · 6–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
9
Zach Hyman · 2nd 09:38 · 6–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
10
Zach Hyman · 2nd 14:06 · 6–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
11
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 19:21 · 6–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
12
Kailer Yamamoto · 3rd 01:28 · 6–6 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
13
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 02:57 · 7–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
14
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 08:55 · 8–6 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
15
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 17:49 · 9–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 81.
CGY 81%EDM 19%
Goals and penalties
15 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Elias Lindholm · 1st 00:26 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 00:51 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Brett Ritchie · 1st 06:05 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Connor McDavid · 1st 07:41 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Blake Coleman · 2nd 00:45 · 4–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
6
Blake Coleman · 2nd 06:10 · 5–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
7
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 07:10 · 5–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Matthew Tkachuk · 2nd 08:24 · PP · 6–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
9
Zach Hyman · 2nd 09:38 · 6–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
10
Zach Hyman · 2nd 14:06 · 6–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
11
Leon Draisaitl · 2nd 19:21 · 6–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
12
Kailer Yamamoto · 3rd 01:28 · 6–6
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
13
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 02:57 · GWG · 7–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
14
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 08:55 · 8–6
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
15
Matthew Tkachuk · 3rd 17:49 · EN · 9–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
1
Rasmus Andersson, Johnny Gaudreau · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
13
Andrew Mangiapane, Calle Jarnkrok · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7–6
14
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8–6
No penalties
Goaltending
22/28 saves · 6 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
