CGY
3–5
EDM
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-4
3–5
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 5-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
212113015340
EDM
114215211540
goals · shots on goal
Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
CGY 5-4 · EDM 5-4 · Game 2 — the series is tied 1–1
Flames fell to the Oilers
The Flames let a 2–0 lead get away: the Oilers came back with five unanswered goals — Bouchard's equalizer — and won 3–5.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 3.5, on 40 and 40 shots on goal.
CGY 3.5 xG · 40 shots
EDM 4.5 xG · 40 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 1.7
2nd
1.3 · 1.6
3rd
1.2 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Michael Stone · 1st 03:02 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Brett Ritchie · 1st 06:02 · 2–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Duncan Keith · 1st 13:38 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 02:04 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 03:05 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 15:03 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Zach Hyman · 3rd 10:14 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 12:36 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 37.
CGY 37%EDM 63%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Michael Stone · 1st 03:02 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Brett Ritchie · 1st 06:02 · 2–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (34%)
3
Duncan Keith · 1st 13:38 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 02:04 · PP · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Connor McDavid · 2nd 03:05 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 15:03 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
7
Zach Hyman · 3rd 10:14 · SH · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Leon Draisaitl · 3rd 12:36 · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
35/40 saves · 5 GA · 4.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
