Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-7
4–5
Final / OTL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 8-4
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CGY
153180706436
EDM
0641301412535
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Flames trail the series 1–4
CGY 5-7 · EDM 8-4 · Game 5 — the Flames trail the series 1–4
Flames fell to the Oilers
The Flames let a 2–0 lead get away: the Oilers came back with five unanswered goals — Bouchard's equalizer — and won it in overtime on McDavid's goal. Jacob Markstrom allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.1 expected goals to 3.0, on 36 and 35 shots on goal.
CGY 3.1 xG · 36 shots
EDM 3.0 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.3
2nd
1.3 · 1.7
3rd
0.3 · 1.0
OT
0.5 · 0.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 10:13 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 05:41 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 07:40 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jesse Puljujarvi · 2nd 09:56 · 2–2 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 14:57 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Johnny Gaudreau · 2nd 15:12 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 15:28 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 16:08 · 4–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Connor McDavid · OT 05:03 · 4–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 50.
CGY 50%EDM 50%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 10:13 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 05:41 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Darnell Nurse · 2nd 07:40 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Jesse Puljujarvi · 2nd 09:56 · 2–2
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (24%)
5
Zach Hyman · 2nd 14:57 · PP · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Johnny Gaudreau · 2nd 15:12 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7
Calle Jarnkrok · 2nd 15:28 · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
8
Evan Bouchard · 2nd 16:08 · 4–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
9
Connor McDavid · OT 05:03 · GWG · 4–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
30/35 saves · 5 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.