Calgary Flames
CGY · 3-0-0
3–2
FinalW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 3-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
013215112340
VGK
290705221
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 3-0-0 · VGK 3-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Golden Knights
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Flames erased the deficit with three unanswered goals — Toffoli's equalizer — and won 3–2. The Flames scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.1, on 40 and 21 shots on goal.
CGY 3.7 xG · 40 shots
VGK 2.1 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.9 · 0.9
2nd
1.5 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Carrier · 1st 03:55 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Brett Howden · 1st 15:23 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 10:43 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 13:19 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 15:31 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 75.
CGY 75%VGK 25%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Carrier · 1st 03:55 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Brett Howden · 1st 15:23 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Elias Lindholm · 2nd 10:43 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 13:19 · PP · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Mikael Backlund · 3rd 15:31 · GWG · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 3.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.