CGY
3–6
BUF
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 3-1-0
3–6
FinalL
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 3-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
116110117343
BUF
31211426632
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 3-1-0 · BUF 3-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Sabres
The Flames were outchanced (4.2 to 2.8 expected goals) and lost 3–6. Jacob Markstrom allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Sabres created the better chances: 4.2 expected goals to 2.8, on 32 and 43 shots on goal.
CGY 2.8 xG · 43 shots
BUF 4.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.7
2nd · the swing
0.8 · 1.8
3rd
0.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 04:21 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Dylan Cozens · 1st 06:34 · 1–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
3
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 10:49 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 13:10 · 1–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 00:46 · 1–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Trevor Lewis · 2nd 19:57 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Nikita Zadorov · 3rd 01:09 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:41 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:35 · 3–6 · wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 29.
CGY 29%BUF 71%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Sabres shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Andrew Mangiapane · 1st 04:21 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Dylan Cozens · 1st 06:34 · 1–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a great chance (37%)
3
Rasmus Dahlin · 1st 10:49 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Casey Mittelstadt · 1st 13:10 · SH · 1–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Alex Tuch · 2nd 00:46 · GWG · 1–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Trevor Lewis · 2nd 19:57 · 2–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Nikita Zadorov · 3rd 01:09 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Alex Tuch · 3rd 05:41 · PP · 3–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
9
Alex Tuch · 3rd 18:35 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot off the rush, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
17/19 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
9/12 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
