CGY
4–1
PIT
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-1-0
4–1
FinalW
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 4-2-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
22024012436
PIT
0612106133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 5-1-0 · PIT 4-2-1 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Penguins
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.1 expected goals); the Flames won 4–1. Jacob Markstrom stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.1, on 36 and 33 shots on goal.
CGY 3.3 xG · 36 shots
PIT 3.1 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.8 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
0.5 · 2.1
3rd
0.9 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nazem Kadri · 1st 14:11 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 17:41 · 2–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 03:00 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 04:32 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
5
Michael Stone · 2nd 11:20 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 53.
CGY 53%PIT 47%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Penguins shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nazem Kadri · 1st 14:11 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Nazem Kadri · 1st 17:41 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Huberdeau · 2nd 03:00 · PP · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Evgeni Malkin · 2nd 04:32 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (32%)
5
Michael Stone · 2nd 11:20 · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
2
Unassisted · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2–0
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 2.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
