CGY
2–3
EDM
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-2-0
2–3
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 6-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
07221014242
EDM
0811226326
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 5-2-0 · EDM 6-3-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames fell to the Oilers
Chances were even (3.3 to 3.0 expected goals); the Flames lost 2–3. Stuart Skinner stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 3.0, on 42 and 26 shots on goal.
CGY 3.3 xG · 42 shots
EDM 3.0 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 1.2
2nd
1.6 · 1.2
3rd
1.0 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 04:29 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 05:02 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brett Ritchie · 2nd 16:06 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:02 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 12:24 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 55.
CGY 55%EDM 45%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 04:29 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Zach Hyman · 2nd 05:02 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Brett Ritchie · 2nd 16:06 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
4
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:02 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Zach Hyman · 3rd 12:24 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/26 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
40/42 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
