Calgary Flames
CGY · 5-4-0
1–4
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 4-6-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
03013114130
NSH
112210110432
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 5-4-0 · NSH 4-6-1 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Predators
The Flames were outchanced (3.2 to 2.5 expected goals) and lost 1–4. Kevin Lankinen stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Predators created the better chances: 3.2 expected goals to 2.5, on 32 and 30 shots on goal.
CGY 2.5 xG · 30 shots
NSH 3.2 xG · 32 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.1 · 1.1
2nd
1.4 · 1.4
3rd
0.9 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 19:31 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 00:59 · 0–2 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Roman Josi · 2nd 02:27 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 01:43 · 1–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Matt Duchene · 3rd 19:46 · 1–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 38.
CGY 38%NSH 62%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mark Jankowski · 1st 19:31 · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
2
Filip Forsberg · 2nd 00:59 · GWG · 0–2
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
3
Roman Josi · 2nd 02:27 · PP · 0–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Blake Coleman · 3rd 01:43 · 1–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
5
Matt Duchene · 3rd 19:46 · EN · 1–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
28/31 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/30 saves · 1 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.