Calgary Flames
CGY · 6-6-2
3–2
FinalW
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 8-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
210114011335
WPG
1911004223
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 6-6-2 · WPG 8-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Jets
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.4 expected goals); the Flames won 3–2.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.4, on 35 and 23 shots on goal.
CGY 2.5 xG · 35 shots
WPG 2.4 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
0.8 · 1.6
3rd
0.8 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Elias Lindholm · 1st 03:23 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Neal Pionk · 1st 14:46 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Adam Ruzicka · 1st 17:22 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 2nd 04:23 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Trevor Lewis · 2nd 18:31 · 3–2 · backhand shot off the rush, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 51.
CGY 51%WPG 49%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Elias Lindholm · 1st 03:23 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Neal Pionk · 1st 14:46 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Adam Ruzicka · 1st 17:22 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Pierre-Luc Dubois · 2nd 04:23 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Trevor Lewis · 2nd 18:31 · SH · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot off the rush, a great chance (30%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.