CGY
6–2
FLA
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 10-9-3
6–2
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 10-9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
381629623
FLA
010211012233
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
CGY 10-9-3 · FLA 10-9-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames lead the season series 2–0
Flames beat the Panthers
The Flames earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Sergei Bobrovsky allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 23 and 33 shots on goal.
CGY 3.0 xG · 23 shots
FLA 2.3 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.5
2nd
0.8 · 0.8
3rd
0.8 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dillon Dube · 1st 03:05 · 1–0 · backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (20%)
2
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 09:21 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 12:03 · 3–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
4
Nick Cousins · 2nd 09:54 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Brett Ritchie · 2nd 15:29 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 16:55 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 15:22 · 5–2 · slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
8
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 18:54 · 6–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 62.
CGY 62%FLA 38%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Panthers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dillon Dube · 1st 03:05 · SH · 1–0
Backhand shot off the rush, a good chance (20%)
2
Jonathan Huberdeau · 1st 09:21 · PP · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Rasmus Andersson · 1st 12:03 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
4
Nick Cousins · 2nd 09:54 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Brett Ritchie · 2nd 15:29 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Sam Reinhart · 2nd 16:55 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 15:22 · 5–2
Slap shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
8
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 18:54 · 6–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/33 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
17/23 saves · 6 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 3.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
