Calgary Flames
CGY · 11-10-3
5–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 10-12-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
11411438536
WSH
1150519229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 11-10-3 · WSH 10-12-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames beat the Capitals
The Flames earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 2.2, and a 5–2 win to show for it.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.2, on 36 and 29 shots on goal.
CGY 2.9 xG · 36 shots
WSH 2.2 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
1.1 · 0.3
3rd
1.0 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Blake Coleman · 1st 18:03 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Conor Sheary · 1st 19:26 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 01:35 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Adam Ruzicka · 3rd 13:39 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 14:34 · 4–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
John Carlson · 3rd 18:54 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 19:56 · 5–2 · tip in shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 63.
CGY 63%WSH 37%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Blake Coleman · 1st 18:03 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Conor Sheary · 1st 19:26 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Andrew Mangiapane · 2nd 01:35 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
4
Adam Ruzicka · 3rd 13:39 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Andrew Mangiapane · 3rd 14:34 · 4–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
6
John Carlson · 3rd 18:54 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (19%)
7
Elias Lindholm · 3rd 19:56 · EN · 5–2
Tip in shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
24/26 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.