CGY
5–3
MIN
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 13-10-3
5–3
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 13-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
0839210527
MIN
2809111328
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
CGY 13-10-3 · MIN 13-10-2 · First meeting this season — the Flames lead the season series 1–0
Flames beat the Wild
Down 0–2 in the 1st period, the Flames erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Coleman's equalizer — and won 5–3. Marc-Andre Fleury allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.9 expected goals to 3.1, on 27 and 28 shots on goal.
CGY 2.9 xG · 27 shots
MIN 3.1 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.8
2nd
1.3 · 1.5
3rd
1.2 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 01:27 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Mason Shaw · 1st 02:25 · 0–2 · snap shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
3
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 00:16 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Blake Coleman · 2nd 01:37 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 03:11 · 3–2 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jon Merrill · 3rd 15:45 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 15:57 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 18:50 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 47.
CGY 47%MIN 53%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Kaprizov · 1st 01:27 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Mason Shaw · 1st 02:25 · 0–2
Snap shot off the rush, a good chance (18%)
3
Nazem Kadri · 2nd 00:16 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Blake Coleman · 2nd 01:37 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 03:11 · PP · 3–2
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Jon Merrill · 3rd 15:45 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Rasmus Andersson · 3rd 15:57 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 18:50 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3
Elias Lindholm, Rasmus Andersson · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1–2
5
Rasmus Andersson, Elias Lindholm · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3–2
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 3.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
