CGY
2–5
STL
Final · L
Calgary Flames
CGY · 13-12-6
2–5
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 15-15-1
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
114015114243
STL
1121339524
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
CGY 13-12-6 · STL 15-15-1 · First meeting this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–1
Flames fell to the Blues
The Flames created the better chances (3.6 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Jacob Markstrom allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.7, on 43 and 24 shots on goal.
CGY 3.6 xG · 43 shots
STL 2.7 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.4
3rd
1.2 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 04:07 · 0–1 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
2
· 1st 16:01 · 1–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 03:08 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 03:46 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
· 3rd 07:40 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Brandon Saad · 3rd 08:58 · 2–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 09:59 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 64.
CGY 64%STL 36%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ivan Barbashev · 1st 04:07 · 0–1
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (16%)
2
· 1st 16:01 · 1–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Jordan Kyrou · 2nd 03:08 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Pavel Buchnevich · 3rd 03:46 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
5
· 3rd 07:40 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Brandon Saad · 3rd 08:58 · 2–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (15%)
7
Jordan Kyrou · 3rd 09:59 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
41/43 saves · 2 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
