Calgary Flames
CGY · 16-13-7
1–2
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 19-15-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
010113024147
EDM
091914222
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 1–2
CGY 16-13-7 · EDM 19-15-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Flames trail the season series 1–2
Flames fell to the Oilers
The Flames created the better chances (4.6 to 2.1 expected goals) — and lost 1–2. Stuart Skinner stopped 3.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.1, on 47 and 22 shots on goal.
CGY 4.6 xG · 47 shots
EDM 2.1 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
1.9 · 0.9
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 01:12 · 1–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
2
Tyson Barrie · 2nd 04:58 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Connor McDavid · 3rd 07:28 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 84.
CGY 84%EDM 16%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikael Backlund · 2nd 01:12 · 1–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (48%)
2
Tyson Barrie · 2nd 04:58 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Connor McDavid · 3rd 07:28 · PP · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
20/22 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
46/47 saves · 1 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 3.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.