CGY
4–1
NYI
Final · W
Calgary Flames
CGY · 19-14-7
4–1
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 22-17-2
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
360916421
NYI
180809125
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 19-14-7 · NYI 22-17-2 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames beat the Islanders
The Flames earned it: 2.2 expected goals to 1.7, and a 4–1 win to show for it. Semyon Varlamov allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 2.2 expected goals to 1.7, on 21 and 25 shots on goal.
CGY 2.2 xG · 21 shots
NYI 1.7 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.7 · 0.7
2nd
1.0 · 0.8
3rd
0.5 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
· 1st 04:36 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Blake Coleman · 1st 06:05 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Nikita Zadorov · 1st 14:21 · 3–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Zach Parise · 1st 19:00 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 06:59 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 60.
CGY 60%NYI 40%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties← Flames shoot this way
Islanders shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
· 1st 04:36 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2
Blake Coleman · 1st 06:05 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
3
Nikita Zadorov · 1st 14:21 · 3–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Zach Parise · 1st 19:00 · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 06:59 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1st period
4
Jean-Gabriel Pageau, Scott Mayfield · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–1
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
24/25 saves · 1 GA · 1.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
17/21 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
