Calgary Flames
CGY · 21-16-9
1–4
FinalL
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 23-17-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
012010113135
COL
31401214430
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CGY 21-16-9 · COL 23-17-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Flames fell to the Avalanche
The Flames created the better chances (3.0 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost 1–4. Alexandar Georgiev stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 2.3, on 35 and 30 shots on goal.
CGY 3.0 xG · 35 shots
COL 2.3 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 06:17 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 11:01 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 12:58 · 0–3 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 02:27 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 19:02 · 1–4 · into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 61.
CGY 61%COL 39%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mikko Rantanen · 1st 06:17 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 11:01 · GWG · 0–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (26%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 12:58 · PP · 0–3
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 02:27 · PP · 1–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Mikko Rantanen · 3rd 19:02 · EN · 1–4
into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/35 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.