Calgary Flames
CGY · 25-19-11
2–5
FinalL
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 26-20-8
1ST2ND3RDT
CGY
18112015235
DET
1731314524
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
CGY 25-19-11 · DET 26-20-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the Flames trail the season series 0–2
Flames fell to the Red Wings
The Flames created the better chances (3.8 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost 2–5. Dan Vladar allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Flames created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 35 and 24 shots on goal.
CGY 3.8 xG · 35 shots
DET 2.7 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
1.2 · 1.6
3rd · the swing
1.8 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Elias Lindholm · 1st 15:22 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 18:59 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Robby Fabbri · 2nd 02:27 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Dillon Dube · 2nd 09:03 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 15:21 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 18:43 · 2–4 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Pius Suter · 3rd 03:55 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Flames win 67.
CGY 67%DET 33%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Elias Lindholm · 1st 15:22 · SH · 1–0
Tip in shot, a great chance (30%)
2
Dominik Kubalik · 1st 18:59 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Robby Fabbri · 2nd 02:27 · PP · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Dillon Dube · 2nd 09:03 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
5
Dominik Kubalik · 2nd 15:21 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Tyler Bertuzzi · 2nd 18:43 · PP · 2–4
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Pius Suter · 3rd 03:55 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
19/24 saves · 5 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 2.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.